Released September 2021
30 knives
Operation Riptide Case Simulator
Open the Operation Riptide Case for free with Valve's real odds. Every skin, every rare special item, today's prices and what one opening is worth.
- skins
- 17 skins
- knives
- 30 knives
- Cost to open
- Cost to open $9.70
- Average return
- Average return 46%
Operation Riptide Case simulator
Free and no real money, with Valve's published odds
- Opened
- 0
- Spent
- $0.00
- Drops worth
- $0.00
- Profit
- $0.00
Just for fun: nothing here costs or pays real money, and the items aren't real.
Is the Operation Riptide Case worth opening?
- Cost to open
- $9.70
- $7.21 case + $2.49 key
- Average drop value
- $4.50
- Average return
- 46%
The average covers every possible drop, using the odds and market prices from Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com (11 October 2026). Most single openings return much less than the cost; a few rare drops pull the average up.
Most valuable drops
★ Butterfly Knife | Lore$506.76–$1,935
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler$1,736–$1,747
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic$671.99–$1,369
★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate$551.27–$802.64
★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand$537.21–$636.74
Operation Riptide Case odds
The drop chances Valve has published for every case, per rarity and per item.
| Rarity | Chance | Items | Per item |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Knife | 0.26% | 30 | 0.0087% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.32% |
| Classified | 3.2% | 3 | 1.07% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.2% |
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.42% |
Weapon skins and knives can also drop as StatTrak™ (10% of drops; gloves never). On average one case in 385 gives a rare special item.
What's in the Operation Riptide Case
Covert · 2 · 0.32% each
AK-47
Leet Museo
FN–BSStatTrak™$62.28–$538.89
Desert Eagle
Ocean Drive
FN–BSStatTrak™$58.99–$266.11
Classified · 3 · 1.07% each
Glock-18
Snack Attack
FN–BSStatTrak™$14.14–$106.74
MAC-10
Toybox
FN–BSStatTrak™$14.51–$48.76
SSG 08
Turbo Peek
FN–BSStatTrak™$14.51–$46.49
Restricted · 5 · 3.2% each
FAMAS
ZX Spectron
FN–BSStatTrak™$2.06–$21.88
Five-SeveN
Boost Protocol
FN–WWStatTrak™$2.99–$8.83
M4A4
Spider Lily
FN–BSStatTrak™$4.76–$59.61
MAG-7
BI83 Spectrum
FN–BSStatTrak™$1.77–$5.47
MP9
Mount Fuji
FN–BSStatTrak™$4.58–$13.26
Mil-Spec · 7 · 11.42% each
AUG
Plague
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.62–$2.78
Dual Berettas
Tread
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.49–$4.32
G3SG1
Keeping Tabs
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.54–$2.79
MP7
Guerrilla
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.64–$6.20
PP-Bizon
Lumen
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.51–$5.77
USP-S
Black Lotus
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.65–$20.63
XM1014
Watchdog
FN–BSStatTrak™$1.10–$6.72
Operation Riptide Case knives
The rare special pool: 30 finishes of Bowie Knife, Butterfly Knife, Falchion Knife, Huntsman Knife, Shadow Daggers. Together they share the 0.26% rare drop chance.
Bowie Knife
Gamma Doppler
$187.52–$242.38
Bowie Knife
Lore
$72.76–$162.73
Bowie Knife
Autotronic
$67.51–$137.66
Bowie Knife
Black Laminate
$48.11–$90.35
Bowie Knife
Freehand
$56.96–$76.28
Bowie Knife
Bright Water
$46.22–$69.46
Butterfly Knife
Gamma Doppler
$1,736–$1,747
Butterfly Knife
Lore
$506.76–$1,935
Butterfly Knife
Autotronic
$671.99–$1,369
Butterfly Knife
Black Laminate
$551.27–$802.64
Butterfly Knife
Freehand
$537.21–$636.74
Butterfly Knife
Bright Water
$493.86–$582.07
Falchion Knife
Gamma Doppler
$217.76–$284.30
Falchion Knife
Lore
$76.83–$137.41
Falchion Knife
Autotronic
$85.14–$161.75
Falchion Knife
Black Laminate
$55.22–$102.02
Falchion Knife
Freehand
$69.16–$89.60
Falchion Knife
Bright Water
$60.00–$73.29
Huntsman Knife
Gamma Doppler
$213.34–$240.88
Huntsman Knife
Lore
$74.80–$121.36
Huntsman Knife
Autotronic
$88.84–$155.82
Huntsman Knife
Black Laminate
$53.80–$104.74
Huntsman Knife
Freehand
$56.11–$78.33
Huntsman Knife
Bright Water
$50.70–$67.92
Shadow Daggers
Gamma Doppler
$94.78–$135.06
Shadow Daggers
Lore
$45.76–$111.88
Shadow Daggers
Autotronic
$42.30–$90.00
Shadow Daggers
Black Laminate
$35.74–$59.26
Shadow Daggers
Freehand
$43.63–$53.11
Shadow Daggers
Bright Water
$36.25–$44.51
Operation Riptide Case FAQ
What are the odds of getting a knife from the Operation Riptide Case?+
The chance is 0.26%, so on average about one case in 385. Valve published these odds in 2017, and the same drop system is used for every case.
Which knives are in the Operation Riptide Case?+
Bowie Knife (6), Butterfly Knife (6), Falchion Knife (6), Huntsman Knife (6), Shadow Daggers (6). The number in brackets is how many finishes each one comes in.
How many skins are in the Operation Riptide Case?+
17 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 7 Mil-Spec. On top of those come 30 rare special items.
How much does it cost to open the Operation Riptide Case?+
About $9.70: $7.21 for the case and $2.49 for the key, at market prices on 11 October 2026.
Is the Operation Riptide Case worth opening?+
On average one opening gives items worth $4.50, which is 46% of the $9.70 it costs. Most openings give much less, and a few rare drops pull the average up. Try it for free in the simulator above first.
When was the Operation Riptide Case released?+
The Operation Riptide Case was released in September 2021.
Can items from the Operation Riptide Case be StatTrak™?+
Yes. Weapon skins and knives can drop as StatTrak™, which happens on 10% of openings. Gloves never come as StatTrak™.
Contents from the game files (CSGO-API, MIT licence). Prices: Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com, 11 October 2026. Odds: Valve's published case odds, estimates for capsules and souvenir packages. Play money only. Not affiliated with Valve. Prices for items nobody is selling right now are estimated from similar items.


