Released May 2015
13 knives
Falchion Case Simulator
Open the Falchion Case for free with Valve's real odds. Every skin, every rare special item, today's prices and what one opening is worth.
- skins
- 16 skins
- knives
- 13 knives
- Cost to open
- Cost to open $3.88
- Average return
- Average return 49%
Falchion Case simulator
Free and no real money, with Valve's published odds
- Opened
- 0
- Spent
- $0.00
- Drops worth
- $0.00
- Profit
- $0.00
Just for fun: nothing here costs or pays real money, and the items aren't real.
Is the Falchion Case worth opening?
- Cost to open
- $3.88
- $1.39 case + $2.49 key
- Average drop value
- $1.92
- Average return
- 49%
The average covers every possible drop, using the odds and market prices from Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com (11 October 2026). Most single openings return much less than the cost; a few rare drops pull the average up.
Most valuable drops
★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web$108.15–$837.64
★ Falchion Knife | Night$62.43–$349.84
★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened$126.03–$323.29
★ Falchion Knife | Fade$190.70–$236.12
★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter$168.99–$225.27
Falchion Case odds
The drop chances Valve has published for every case, per rarity and per item.
| Rarity | Chance | Items | Per item |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Knife | 0.26% | 13 | 0.02% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.32% |
| Classified | 3.2% | 3 | 1.07% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.2% |
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 6 | 13.32% |
Weapon skins and knives can also drop as StatTrak™ (10% of drops; gloves never). On average one case in 385 gives a rare special item.
What's in the Falchion Case
Covert · 2 · 0.32% each
AK-47
Aquamarine Revenge
FN–BSStatTrak™$27.55–$187.92
AWP
Hyper Beast
FN–BSStatTrak™$27.20–$149.10
Classified · 3 · 1.07% each
CZ75-Auto
Yellow Jacket
FN–BSStatTrak™$3.68–$20.83
MP7
Nemesis
FN–FTStatTrak™$6.09–$23.52
SG 553
Cyrex
FN–BSStatTrak™$3.98–$21.10
Restricted · 5 · 3.2% each
FAMAS
Neural Net
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.70–$5.38
M4A4
Evil Daimyo
FN–BSStatTrak™$2.78–$7.49
MP9
Ruby Poison Dart
FN–BSStatTrak™$1.03–$4.51
Negev
Loudmouth
MW–BSStatTrak™$0.79–$11.10
P2000
Handgun
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.60–$16.73
Mil-Spec · 6 · 13.32% each
Galil AR
Rocket Pop
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.62–$9.00
Glock-18
Bunsen Burner
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.70–$4.65
Nova
Ranger
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.36–$1.44
P90
Elite Build
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.23–$1.54
UMP-45
Riot
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.44–$0.64
USP-S
Torque
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.62–$1.61
Falchion Case knives
The rare special pool: 13 finishes of Falchion Knife. Together they share the 0.26% rare drop chance.
Falchion Knife
Vanilla
$102.92
Falchion Knife
Fade
$190.70–$236.12
Falchion Knife
Crimson Web
$108.15–$837.64
Falchion Knife
Slaughter
$168.99–$225.27
Falchion Knife
Case Hardened
$126.03–$323.29
Falchion Knife
Urban Masked
$59.85–$105.65
Falchion Knife
Blue Steel
$111.47–$207.13
Falchion Knife
Night
$62.43–$349.84
Falchion Knife
Stained
$70.80–$157.21
Falchion Knife
Forest DDPAT
$54.50–$133.01
Falchion Knife
Boreal Forest
$58.57–$95.07
Falchion Knife
Scorched
$58.36–$88.76
Falchion Knife
Safari Mesh
$51.77–$141.15
Falchion Case FAQ
What are the odds of getting a knife from the Falchion Case?＋
The chance is 0.26%, so on average about one case in 385. Valve published these odds in 2017, and the same drop system is used for every case.
Which knives are in the Falchion Case?＋
Falchion Knife (12). The number in brackets is how many finishes each one comes in.
How many skins are in the Falchion Case?＋
16 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 6 Mil-Spec. On top of those come 13 rare special items.
How much does it cost to open the Falchion Case?＋
About $3.88: $1.39 for the case and $2.49 for the key, at market prices on 11 October 2026.
Is the Falchion Case worth opening?＋
On average one opening gives items worth $1.92, which is 49% of the $3.88 it costs. Most openings give much less, and a few rare drops pull the average up. Try it for free in the simulator above first.
When was the Falchion Case released?＋
The Falchion Case was released in May 2015.
Can items from the Falchion Case be StatTrak™?＋
Yes. Weapon skins and knives can drop as StatTrak™, which happens on 10% of openings. Gloves never come as StatTrak™.
Contents from the game files (CSGO-API, MIT licence). Prices: Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com, 11 October 2026. Odds: Valve's published case odds, estimates for capsules and souvenir packages. Play money only. Not affiliated with Valve. Prices for items nobody is selling right now are estimated from similar items.