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Released July 2020

52 knives

Fracture Case Simulator

Open the Fracture Case for free with Valve's real odds. Every skin, every rare special item, today's prices and what one opening is worth.

skins
17 skins
knives
52 knives
Cost to open
Cost to open $2.87
Average return
Average return 31%
Fracture Case

Fracture Case simulator

Free and no real money, with Valve's published odds

$0.00
Opened
0
Spent
$0.00
Drops worth
$0.00
Profit
$0.00
Mil-Spec0Restricted0Classified0Covert0★ Rare0
Inventory

Just for fun: nothing here costs or pays real money, and the items aren't real.

Is the Fracture Case worth opening?

Cost to open
$2.87
$0.38 case + $2.49 key
Average drop value
$0.88
Average return
31%

The average covers every possible drop, using the odds and market prices from Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com (11 October 2026). Most single openings return much less than the cost; a few rare drops pull the average up.

Most valuable drops

  • ★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web$238.59–$1,460
  • ★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web$77.12–$1,243
  • ★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web$127.69–$681.23
  • ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade$473.39–$532.69
  • ★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web$78.65–$494.89

Fracture Case odds

The drop chances Valve has published for every case, per rarity and per item.

RarityChanceItems
★ Knife0.26%52
Covert0.64%2
Classified3.2%3
Restricted15.98%5
Mil-Spec79.92%7

Weapon skins and knives can also drop as StatTrak™ (10% of drops; gloves never). On average one case in 385 gives a rare special item.

What's in the Fracture Case

Covert · 2 · 0.32% each

  • AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

    AK-47

    Legion of Anubis

    FN–BSStatTrak™$29.11–$50.46

  • Desert Eagle | Printstream

    Desert Eagle

    Printstream

    FN–BSStatTrak™$31.24–$66.59

Classified · 3 · 1.07% each

  • Glock-18 | Vogue

    Glock-18

    Vogue

    FN–BSStatTrak™$3.10–$10.93

  • M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

    M4A4

    Tooth Fairy

    FN–BSStatTrak™$3.21–$11.36

  • XM1014 | Entombed

    XM1014

    Entombed

    FN–BSStatTrak™$3.16–$5.75

Restricted · 5 · 3.2% each

  • Galil AR | Connexion

    Galil AR

    Connexion

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.35–$1.95

  • MAC-10 | Allure

    MAC-10

    Allure

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.31–$2.54

  • MAG-7 | Monster Call

    MAG-7

    Monster Call

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.30–$3.01

  • MP5-SD | Kitbash

    MP5-SD

    Kitbash

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.32–$1.29

  • Tec-9 | Brother

    Tec-9

    Brother

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.33–$2.14

Mil-Spec · 7 · 11.42% each

  • Negev | Ultralight

    Negev

    Ultralight

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.07–$0.30

  • P2000 | Gnarled

    P2000

    Gnarled

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.06–$0.56

  • P250 | Cassette

    P250

    Cassette

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.09–$0.25

  • P90 | Freight

    P90

    Freight

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.05–$0.50

  • PP-Bizon | Runic

    PP-Bizon

    Runic

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.05–$0.57

  • SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

    SG 553

    Ol' Rusty

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.06–$0.24

  • SSG 08 | Mainframe 001

    SSG 08

    Mainframe 001

    FN–BSStatTrak™$0.07–$0.65

Fracture Case knives

The rare special pool: 52 finishes of Nomad Knife, Paracord Knife, Skeleton Knife, Survival Knife. Together they share the 0.26% rare drop chance.

  • Nomad Knife

    Nomad Knife

    Vanilla

    $121.35

  • Nomad Knife | Fade

    Nomad Knife

    Fade

    $255.31–$307.20

  • Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

    Nomad Knife

    Crimson Web

    $127.69–$681.23

  • Nomad Knife | Slaughter

    Nomad Knife

    Slaughter

    $207.10–$233.09

  • Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

    Nomad Knife

    Case Hardened

    $143.03–$334.65

  • Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

    Nomad Knife

    Urban Masked

    $85.55–$241.52

  • Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

    Nomad Knife

    Blue Steel

    $126.83–$240.19

  • Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

    Nomad Knife

    Night Stripe

    $86.72–$202.10

  • Nomad Knife | Stained

    Nomad Knife

    Stained

    $103.49–$197.31

  • Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

    Nomad Knife

    Forest DDPAT

    $70.53–$169.48

  • Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

    Nomad Knife

    Boreal Forest

    $73.22–$137.41

  • Nomad Knife | Scorched

    Nomad Knife

    Scorched

    $77.36–$160.26

  • Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

    Nomad Knife

    Safari Mesh

    $68.00–$119.71

  • Paracord Knife

    Paracord Knife

    Vanilla

    $47.65

  • Paracord Knife | Fade

    Paracord Knife

    Fade

    $124.09–$209.49

  • Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

    Paracord Knife

    Crimson Web

    $77.12–$1,243

  • Paracord Knife | Slaughter

    Paracord Knife

    Slaughter

    $107.27–$133.56

  • Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

    Paracord Knife

    Case Hardened

    $89.82–$243.84

  • Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

    Paracord Knife

    Urban Masked

    $45.61–$134.67

  • Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

    Paracord Knife

    Blue Steel

    $66.69–$147.57

  • Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

    Paracord Knife

    Night Stripe

    $44.88–$237.71

  • Paracord Knife | Stained

    Paracord Knife

    Stained

    $48.91–$110.73

  • Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

    Paracord Knife

    Forest DDPAT

    $38.74–$80.96

  • Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

    Paracord Knife

    Boreal Forest

    $42.42–$113.65

  • Paracord Knife | Scorched

    Paracord Knife

    Scorched

    $41.09–$106.78

  • Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

    Paracord Knife

    Safari Mesh

    $38.28–$104.18

  • Skeleton Knife

    Skeleton Knife

    Vanilla

    $207.37

  • Skeleton Knife | Fade

    Skeleton Knife

    Fade

    $473.39–$532.69

  • Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

    Skeleton Knife

    Crimson Web

    $238.59–$1,460

  • Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

    Skeleton Knife

    Slaughter

    $360.00–$400.63

  • Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

    Skeleton Knife

    Case Hardened

    $209.60–$456.31

  • Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

    Skeleton Knife

    Urban Masked

    $117.46–$341.01

  • Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

    Skeleton Knife

    Blue Steel

    $181.38–$403.20

  • Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

    Skeleton Knife

    Night Stripe

    $129.64–$426.30

  • Skeleton Knife | Stained

    Skeleton Knife

    Stained

    $157.12–$350.32

  • Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

    Skeleton Knife

    Forest DDPAT

    $110.92–$250.21

  • Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

    Skeleton Knife

    Boreal Forest

    $105.86–$217.26

  • Skeleton Knife | Scorched

    Skeleton Knife

    Scorched

    $112.55–$228.47

  • Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

    Skeleton Knife

    Safari Mesh

    $104.74–$231.93

  • Survival Knife

    Survival Knife

    Vanilla

    $45.46

  • Survival Knife | Fade

    Survival Knife

    Fade

    $124.47–$192.45

  • Survival Knife | Crimson Web

    Survival Knife

    Crimson Web

    $78.65–$494.89

  • Survival Knife | Slaughter

    Survival Knife

    Slaughter

    $101.75–$114.12

  • Survival Knife | Case Hardened

    Survival Knife

    Case Hardened

    $79.46–$152.49

  • Survival Knife | Urban Masked

    Survival Knife

    Urban Masked

    $46.38–$109.19

  • Survival Knife | Blue Steel

    Survival Knife

    Blue Steel

    $62.85–$163.55

  • Survival Knife | Night Stripe

    Survival Knife

    Night Stripe

    $46.02–$127.00

  • Survival Knife | Stained

    Survival Knife

    Stained

    $47.88–$106.14

  • Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

    Survival Knife

    Forest DDPAT

    $40.01–$158.61

  • Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

    Survival Knife

    Boreal Forest

    $41.40–$194.52

  • Survival Knife | Scorched

    Survival Knife

    Scorched

    $42.93–$161.26

  • Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

    Survival Knife

    Safari Mesh

    $39.03–$93.31

Fracture Case FAQ

What are the odds of getting a knife from the Fracture Case?＋

The chance is 0.26%, so on average about one case in 385. Valve published these odds in 2017, and the same drop system is used for every case.

Which knives are in the Fracture Case?＋

Nomad Knife (12), Paracord Knife (12), Skeleton Knife (12), Survival Knife (12). The number in brackets is how many finishes each one comes in.

How many skins are in the Fracture Case?＋

17 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 7 Mil-Spec. On top of those come 52 rare special items.

How much does it cost to open the Fracture Case?＋

About $2.87: $0.38 for the case and $2.49 for the key, at market prices on 11 October 2026.

Is the Fracture Case worth opening?＋

On average one opening gives items worth $0.88, which is 31% of the $2.87 it costs. Most openings give much less, and a few rare drops pull the average up. Try it for free in the simulator above first.

When was the Fracture Case released?＋

The Fracture Case was released in July 2020.

Can items from the Fracture Case be StatTrak™?＋

Yes. Weapon skins and knives can drop as StatTrak™, which happens on 10% of openings. Gloves never come as StatTrak™.

Contents from the game files (CSGO-API, MIT licence). Prices: Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com, 11 October 2026. Odds: Valve's published case odds, estimates for capsules and souvenir packages. Play money only. Not affiliated with Valve. Prices for items nobody is selling right now are estimated from similar items.