Released February 2025
28 knives
Fever Case Simulator
Open the Fever Case for free with Valve's real odds. Every skin, every rare special item, today's prices and what one opening is worth.
- skins
- 17 skins
- knives
- 28 knives
- Cost to open
- Cost to open $3.10
- Average return
- Average return 36%
Fever Case simulator
Free and no real money, with Valve's published odds
- Opened
- 0
- Spent
- $0.00
- Drops worth
- $0.00
- Profit
- $0.00
Just for fun: nothing here costs or pays real money, and the items aren't real.
Is the Fever Case worth opening?
- Cost to open
- $3.10
- $0.61 case + $2.49 key
- Average drop value
- $1.11
- Average return
- 36%
The average covers every possible drop, using the odds and market prices from Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com (11 October 2026). Most single openings return much less than the cost; a few rare drops pull the average up.
Most valuable drops
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler$597.09–$1,948
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler$369.65–$849.26
★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet$158.68–$480.00
★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade$343.65–$437.17
★ Paracord Knife | Doppler$249.16–$363.78
Fever Case odds
The drop chances Valve has published for every case, per rarity and per item.
| Rarity | Chance | Items | Per item |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Knife | 0.26% | 28 | 0.0093% |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 | 0.32% |
| Classified | 3.2% | 3 | 1.07% |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 | 3.2% |
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 7 | 11.42% |
Weapon skins and knives can also drop as StatTrak™ (10% of drops; gloves never). On average one case in 385 gives a rare special item.
What's in the Fever Case
Covert · 2 · 0.32% each
AWP
Printstream
FN–BSStatTrak™$36.88–$158.19
FAMAS
Bad Trip
FN–BSStatTrak™$39.20–$79.94
Classified · 3 · 1.07% each
AK-47
Searing Rage
FN–BSStatTrak™$3.75–$16.87
Glock-18
Shinobu
FN–BSStatTrak™$3.89–$17.70
UMP-45
K.O. Factory
FN–BSStatTrak™$3.74–$13.17
Restricted · 5 · 3.2% each
Desert Eagle
Serpent Strike
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.41–$1.41
Galil AR
Control
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.38–$2.21
Nova
Rising Sun
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.37–$3.13
P90
Wave Breaker
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.36–$2.78
Zeus x27
Tosai
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.39–$1.25
Mil-Spec · 7 · 11.42% each
M4A4
Choppa
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.07–$1.18
MAG-7
Resupply
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.05–$0.54
MP9
Nexus
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.05–$0.69
P2000
Sure Grip
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.06–$0.55
SSG 08
Memorial
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.06–$0.87
USP-S
PC-GRN
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.10–$1.06
XM1014
Mockingbird
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.04–$0.63
Fever Case knives
The rare special pool: 28 finishes of Survival Knife, Skeleton Knife, Paracord Knife, Nomad Knife. Together they share the 0.26% rare drop chance.
Survival Knife
Vanilla
$45.46
Survival Knife
Marble Fade
$110.58–$148.63
Survival Knife
Tiger Tooth
$98.55–$114.25
Survival Knife
Doppler
$170.23–$291.79
Survival Knife
Damascus Steel
$51.29–$68.22
Survival Knife
Ultraviolet
$52.07–$191.02
Survival Knife
Rust Coat
$39.13–$50.32
Skeleton Knife
Vanilla
$207.37
Skeleton Knife
Marble Fade
$343.65–$437.17
Skeleton Knife
Tiger Tooth
$294.40–$331.29
Skeleton Knife
Doppler
$597.09–$1,948
Skeleton Knife
Damascus Steel
$175.80–$220.17
Skeleton Knife
Ultraviolet
$158.68–$480.00
Skeleton Knife
Rust Coat
$125.81–$150.70
Paracord Knife
Vanilla
$47.65
Paracord Knife
Marble Fade
$116.80–$165.25
Paracord Knife
Tiger Tooth
$102.67–$133.01
Paracord Knife
Doppler
$249.16–$363.78
Paracord Knife
Damascus Steel
$50.38–$70.00
Paracord Knife
Ultraviolet
$56.97–$240.49
Paracord Knife
Rust Coat
$39.14–$48.29
Nomad Knife
Vanilla
$121.35
Nomad Knife
Marble Fade
$211.78–$300.28
Nomad Knife
Tiger Tooth
$180.06–$194.52
Nomad Knife
Doppler
$369.65–$849.26
Nomad Knife
Damascus Steel
$115.49–$147.29
Nomad Knife
Ultraviolet
$94.76–$264.41
Nomad Knife
Rust Coat
$82.30–$113.97
Fever Case FAQ
What are the odds of getting a knife from the Fever Case?＋
The chance is 0.26%, so on average about one case in 385. Valve published these odds in 2017, and the same drop system is used for every case.
Which knives are in the Fever Case?＋
Survival Knife (6), Skeleton Knife (6), Paracord Knife (6), Nomad Knife (6). The number in brackets is how many finishes each one comes in.
How many skins are in the Fever Case?＋
17 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 7 Mil-Spec. On top of those come 28 rare special items.
How much does it cost to open the Fever Case?＋
About $3.10: $0.61 for the case and $2.49 for the key, at market prices on 11 October 2026.
Is the Fever Case worth opening?＋
On average one opening gives items worth $1.11, which is 36% of the $3.10 it costs. Most openings give much less, and a few rare drops pull the average up. Try it for free in the simulator above first.
When was the Fever Case released?＋
The Fever Case was released in February 2025.
Can items from the Fever Case be StatTrak™?＋
Yes. Weapon skins and knives can drop as StatTrak™, which happens on 10% of openings. Gloves never come as StatTrak™.
Contents from the game files (CSGO-API, MIT licence). Prices: Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com, 11 October 2026. Odds: Valve's published case odds, estimates for capsules and souvenir packages. Play money only. Not affiliated with Valve. Prices for items nobody is selling right now are estimated from similar items.