Home /Case Simulator /Weapon cases /Danger Zone Case

Released November 2018

52 knives

Danger Zone Case Simulator

Open the Danger Zone Case for free with Valve's real odds. Every skin, every rare special item, today's prices and what one opening is worth.

skins: 17 skins
knives: 52 knives
Cost to open: Cost to open $3.51
Average return: Average return 42%

Danger Zone Case simulator

Free and no real money, with Valve's published odds

$0.00

Fast openPay to open

Opened: 0
Spent: $0.00
Drops worth: $0.00
Profit: $0.00

Mil-Spec0Restricted0Classified0Covert0★ Rare0

Inventory

Just for fun: nothing here costs or pays real money, and the items aren't real.

Is the Danger Zone Case worth opening?

Cost to open: $3.51; $1.02 case + $2.49 key
Average drop value: $1.48
Average return: 42%

The average covers every possible drop, using the odds and market prices from Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com (11 October 2026). Most single openings return much less than the cost; a few rare drops pull the average up.

Most valuable drops

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web$284.82–$2,737
★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web$210.36–$1,249
★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened$372.09–$969.90
★ Talon Knife | Fade$736.96–$833.71
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web$109.98–$763.21

Danger Zone Case odds

The drop chances Valve has published for every case, per rarity and per item.

Rarity	Chance	Items	Per item
★ Knife	0.26%	52	0.005%
Covert	0.64%	2	0.32%
Classified	3.2%	3	1.07%
Restricted	15.98%	5	3.2%
Mil-Spec	79.92%	7	11.42%

Weapon skins and knives can also drop as StatTrak™ (10% of drops; gloves never). On average one case in 385 gives a rare special item.

What's in the Danger Zone Case

Covert · 2 · 0.32% each

AK-47
Asiimov
FN–BSStatTrak™$35.58–$326.12
AWP
Neo-Noir
FN–BSStatTrak™$37.60–$48.13

Classified · 3 · 1.07% each

Desert Eagle
Mecha Industries
FN–BSStatTrak™$4.64–$23.61
MP5-SD
Phosphor
FN–BSStatTrak™$3.89–$12.64
UMP-45
Momentum
FN–BSStatTrak™$4.05–$9.17

Restricted · 5 · 3.2% each

G3SG1
Scavenger
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.45–$1.89
Galil AR
Signal
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.54–$1.81
MAC-10
Pipe Down
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.46–$4.59
P250
Nevermore
FN–WWStatTrak™$0.87–$1.84
USP-S
Flashback
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.47–$2.84

Mil-Spec · 7 · 11.42% each

Glock-18
Oxide Blaze
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.20–$2.43
M4A4
Magnesium
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.24–$5.47
MP9
Modest Threat
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.15–$0.45
Nova
Wood Fired
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.23–$2.56
Sawed-Off
Black Sand
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.11–$0.73
SG 553
Danger Close
FN–BSStatTrak™$0.19–$0.92
Tec-9
Fubar
MW–BSStatTrak™$0.15–$5.17

Danger Zone Case knives

The rare special pool: 52 finishes of Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife, Ursus Knife. Together they share the 0.26% rare drop chance.

Navaja Knife
Vanilla
$38.95
Navaja Knife
Fade
$91.16–$135.49
Navaja Knife
Crimson Web
$59.22–$312.30
Navaja Knife
Slaughter
$76.11–$88.75
Navaja Knife
Case Hardened
$67.60–$166.24
Navaja Knife
Urban Masked
$38.70–$133.87
Navaja Knife
Blue Steel
$44.88–$170.82
Navaja Knife
Night Stripe
$38.78–$81.76
Navaja Knife
Stained
$40.87–$123.90
Navaja Knife
Forest DDPAT
$36.78–$83.98
Navaja Knife
Boreal Forest
$37.36–$104.80
Navaja Knife
Scorched
$36.23–$73.44
Navaja Knife
Safari Mesh
$34.73–$562.81
Stiletto Knife
Vanilla
$186.58
Stiletto Knife
Fade
$383.45–$433.94
Stiletto Knife
Crimson Web
$210.36–$1,249
Stiletto Knife
Slaughter
$328.23–$400.16
Stiletto Knife
Case Hardened
$214.97–$538.65
Stiletto Knife
Urban Masked
$139.31–$322.46
Stiletto Knife
Blue Steel
$199.75–$369.53
Stiletto Knife
Night Stripe
$132.87–$274.57
Stiletto Knife
Stained
$159.77–$268.58
Stiletto Knife
Forest DDPAT
$118.70–$153.73
Stiletto Knife
Boreal Forest
$115.97–$194.07
Stiletto Knife
Scorched
$123.91–$291.89
Stiletto Knife
Safari Mesh
$118.56–$181.44
Talon Knife
Vanilla
$302.27
Talon Knife
Fade
$736.96–$833.71
Talon Knife
Crimson Web
$284.82–$2,737
Talon Knife
Slaughter
$470.23–$627.79
Talon Knife
Case Hardened
$372.09–$969.90
Talon Knife
Urban Masked
$203.80–$513.95
Talon Knife
Blue Steel
$348.06–$658.39
Talon Knife
Night Stripe
$218.84–$724.00
Talon Knife
Stained
$265.00–$473.29
Talon Knife
Forest DDPAT
$42.75–$223.70
Talon Knife
Boreal Forest
$180.98–$415.00
Talon Knife
Scorched
$204.39–$434.52
Talon Knife
Safari Mesh
$186.02–$476.38
Ursus Knife
Vanilla
$72.31
Ursus Knife
Fade
$166.57–$284.30
Ursus Knife
Crimson Web
$109.98–$763.21
Ursus Knife
Slaughter
$146.44–$156.70
Ursus Knife
Case Hardened
$105.53–$208.14
Ursus Knife
Urban Masked
$59.67–$222.58
Ursus Knife
Blue Steel
$75.97–$183.55
Ursus Knife
Night Stripe
$60.63–$167.46
Ursus Knife
Stained
$65.09–$117.24
Ursus Knife
Forest DDPAT
$53.12–$216.71
Ursus Knife
Boreal Forest
$50.65–$116.65
Ursus Knife
Scorched
$54.74–$98.91
Ursus Knife
Safari Mesh
$48.99–$149.95

Danger Zone Case FAQ

What are the odds of getting a knife from the Danger Zone Case?＋

The chance is 0.26%, so on average about one case in 385. Valve published these odds in 2017, and the same drop system is used for every case.

Which knives are in the Danger Zone Case?＋

Navaja Knife (12), Stiletto Knife (12), Talon Knife (12), Ursus Knife (12). The number in brackets is how many finishes each one comes in.

How many skins are in the Danger Zone Case?＋

17 skins: 2 Covert, 3 Classified, 5 Restricted, 7 Mil-Spec. On top of those come 52 rare special items.

How much does it cost to open the Danger Zone Case?＋

About $3.51: $1.02 for the case and $2.49 for the key, at market prices on 11 October 2026.

Is the Danger Zone Case worth opening?＋

On average one opening gives items worth $1.48, which is 42% of the $3.51 it costs. Most openings give much less, and a few rare drops pull the average up. Try it for free in the simulator above first.

When was the Danger Zone Case released?＋

The Danger Zone Case was released in November 2018.

Can items from the Danger Zone Case be StatTrak™?＋

Yes. Weapon skins and knives can drop as StatTrak™, which happens on 10% of openings. Gloves never come as StatTrak™.

Contents from the game files (CSGO-API, MIT licence). Prices: Skinport, Pricempire.com and market.csgo.com, 11 October 2026. Odds: Valve's published case odds, estimates for capsules and souvenir packages. Play money only. Not affiliated with Valve. Prices for items nobody is selling right now are estimated from similar items.